Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
622 FXUS65 KLKN 120835 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV Issued by National Weather Service Reno NV 135 AM PDT Wed Jun 12 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Quiet pattern with above average temperatures, and light to breezy afternoon winds will continue through Friday. Upper level trough looks to move through this weekend bringing stronger winds and much cooler temperatures across the area. && .SHORT TERM...Today and Thursday Quiet weather pattern will continue for the next few days with week zonal flow aloft as the Silver State remains sandwiched between strong westerly flow over southern Canada and a cut off upper level low offshore over far southern coastal California. This low will move little over the next few days as it remains blocked by a strong upper level ridge currently over the Rio Grande valley. Overall, the current trend of mostly clear skies, gradually warming temperatures, and light to breezy afternoon winds will continue. Temperatures and winds: Current trend of above normal temperatures across the area continues unabated as daytime highs in the upper 80s to upper 90s with overnight lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Winds will be light to breezy in the afternoons with westerly winds of 5 to 15 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH possible. .LONG TERM... Friday through next Wednesday Southwesterly flow over the forecast region Friday along with lowering heights as a deep low pressure system moves into BC Canada. Weather across northern and central Nevada will be relatively benign with dry conditions and daily temperatures rending cooler from the north. temperatures look to be a few degrees cooler than average across the forecast area by Sunday or Monday. The main concern will be typical afternoon breezes with gusts in the 20 to 25 MPH range. High uncertainty and low confidence continues to be expressed in the details of the impending upper low and surface front anticipated to move into the forecast area from the northwest early next week. Numerical solutions continue to display discrepancy in strength and timing. Main effects look to be in the Monday to Tuesday timeframe with gusty winds likely, along with the increased probability of precipitation across northern Nevada. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through Thursday. && .HYDROLOGY...Temperatures will continue to reside warmer than average thru Friday before cooling several degrees for the weekend. This will allow remaining high mountain snow-pack to continue to melt at a quicker rate. Dry and mostly sunny weather is expected, with little threat of showers or thunderstorms bringing a rain on snow event this week as well. The Humboldt River near Battle Mountain will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Wildhorse Reservoir will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Lamoille Creek will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Diurnal fluctuations in height and discharge will also continue with the creek peaking during the evening hours. The creek may briefly enter minor flood stage while at peak evening flow. The Jarbidge River receded below action stage However, flows remain swift and caution should be exercised if recreating near the river. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 98/92/97/98