847
FNUS76 KLOX 132149
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Spring Drills...LACOFD
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
249 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A pattern change is in store for the burn area as the low pressure
system tracks off to the east. Expecting gusty northerly winds to
develop Friday evening, which will allow relative humidities to
fall to the teens Friday, with even drier conditions expected
Saturday. Lower confidence in how strong the northwest winds will
be Friday night, and could see sporadic northwest gusts to
15-20 mph linger past midnight. Temperatures will also trend
warmer, peaking in the low 90s Friday, and near 96 Saturday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........66-68 at ignition...Max 93-95.
RH..................50-55 percent at ignition...Min 14-19 percent.
Eye level winds.....Winds southeast at 1 to 2 mph at
                    ignition...becoming southwest 3 to 6 mph
                    with gusts to 8 mph in the afternoon.
                    Shifting to the northwest in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 2 to 5 mph at
                    ignition...becoming southwest 6 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to 16 mph in the afternoon.
                    Shifting to the northwest in the evening.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition, becoming 5900 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 63-65.
RH..................Max 38-42 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 15 mph,
                    decreasing to northwest 4 to 6 mph with gusts to
                    10 mph. Becoming south to southwest 2 to 4 mph
                    after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 18 mph with gusts to 30 mph,
                    decreasing to northwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph. Becoming south to southwest 5 to 8 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL in the evening, becoming 900 ft AGL
                    overnight.

$$
Forecaster...PHILLIPS
Requested by...Captain Kevin Montoya
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415789.0/LOX
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Kevin.montoya@fire.lacounty.gov