Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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052 FXUS64 KLUB 202345 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 645 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 An upper-level ridge is currently centered over the ArkLaTex and is expected to build westward towards our forecast area through the short term period. Meanwhile, southeasterly surface winds have maintained a moist environment this afternoon, influenced by the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto in northern Mexico. With cloud cover and scattered showers moving northward through the CWA this afternoon, high temperatures today are expected to be relatively cool. Tonight`s lows should be mild, with low to mid 60s dewpoints and continued cloud cover preventing much cooling overnight. Showers will decrease in coverage tonight from the Rolling Plains first, then westward. However, the western South Plains and far southwest TXPH may see intermittent showers through Friday afternoon. Expect seasonable temperatures tomorrow, with most areas 5-10 degrees warmer than today`s highs. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 As we head into the weekend with a ridge moving to the west, cloud cover will decrease as temperatures will begin to rise. Despite the rising temperatures, the region will retain moisture quite well, leading to heat indexes into the 90`s on Saturday and Sunday and possibly into the low 100`s during the middle of next week, with both Wednesday and Thursday representing the hottest days of the forecast. Cloud cover and PoPs are also expected to increase for Wednesday and Thursday, which both have the potential for low-end severe weather scattered across the CWA. Although the severe weather has the potential to reduce high temperatures, they remain far into the forecast period, so confidence is low. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 645 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 On/off SHRA will be a nuisance mainly to LBB and PVW through the night. Otherwise, VFR skies should give way to MVFR CIGs close to sunrise from LBB-PVW before this and lingering SHRA dissipate by midday. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...58 LONG TERM....58 AVIATION...93