674
FXUS64 KLZK 190746
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
246 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 246 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

To begin the period, high pressure...currently centered just east of
the state, will gradually move back over the area through the
period. Some light rain showers are possible today as tropical
moisture continues to move over the state...aided by the system in
the Gulf of Mexico. Heavy rain is not expected and any location that
receives rain will likely see less than a tenth of an inch. Dry
conditions are expected by the end of the period as hotter
temperatures begin to move back into the area.

The coolest day in the short term period will be today as surface
high pressure gradually moves back towards the west increasing
temperatures by Thursday. High temperatures are expected to be in
the mid 80s to lower 90s early before increasing into the upper 80s
to mid 90s by Thursday. Overnight low temperatures are expected to
drop into the mid 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 246 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

The period will begin with a large ridge of high pressure over
Arkansas. Under the ridge, temperatures will be above to well above
average, and conditions will be largely dry.

Temperatures will peak in the 90s on Friday, and from the mid 90s to
around 100 degrees during the weekend. Given dewpoints in the
lower/mid 60s Friday/Saturday, afternoon heat index values will have
difficulty reaching the century mark. However, moisture levels will
increase a bit on Sunday, with heat indices peaking from 100 to 105
degrees in much of the state except the Ozark Mountains.

Early next week, the ridge will wobble toward the southern
Plains/southern Rockies. We will be under the the eastern periphery
of the ridge, with clockwise flow creating a weak northwest flow
aloft. A cold front will drift toward Arkansas from the mid-
Mississippi Valley/central Plains, and humidity levels will tick a
bit higher Monday/Tuesday. While triple digit temperatures will be
more spotty, oppressive conditions are expected as heat indices max
out between 100 and 110 degrees. There will also be isolated to
scattered afternoon/early evening thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Widespread VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some
mid to high level clouds will be possible early in the period
before lifting by the afternoon hours. Winds will be out of the
east-southeast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     88  69  91  70 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         90  71  94  69 /  20   0   0   0
Harrison AR       87  67  88  67 /  10  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    88  71  93  70 /  10   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  90  73  94  73 /  10   0   0   0
Monticello AR     90  71  93  71 /  10   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      86  70  92  69 /  10   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  88  68  90  69 /  10  10   0   0
Newport AR        90  70  92  72 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     90  71  92  70 /  10   0   0   0
Russellville AR   88  72  92  72 /  10   0   0   0
Searcy AR         89  69  92  70 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      90  72  92  72 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....46
AVIATION...73