Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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935 ACUS11 KWNS 160125 SWOMCD SPC MCD 160125 TXZ000-160300- Mesoscale Discussion 1281 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0825 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Areas affected...Parts of the TX South Plains into the northern Permian Basin vicinity Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 160125Z - 160300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A localized threat for hail and severe gusts may persist through 9-10 PM CDT. DISCUSSION...A small supercell cluster has recently formed west-southwest of Lubbock, within a region of moderate buoyancy and moderate deep-layer shear (as noted in the recent KLBB VWP). Steep midlevel lapse rates (as observed in the 00Z MAF sounding) will continue to support a hail threat with these storms for as long as they persist, along with some potential for isolated severe gusts. Increasing MLCINH should lead to a weakening trend later tonight, but some threat for hail of golfball size or larger may persist through 9-10 PM CDT as storms spread slowly southeastward. ..Dean/Smith.. 06/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33210294 33650267 33900225 33720178 32800157 32750219 32730267 33210294