Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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311 FXUS64 KMEG 191734 AAA AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Memphis TN 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 221 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 Dry weather with temperatures slightly above normal is expected through the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s through Sunday with lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible for Monday through Wednesday as a cold front slowly pushes across the region. Cooler weather is expected behind the front with highs in the mid to upper 70s. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 221 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 Skies are mostly clear across the Mid-South early this morning with temperatures in the mid 60s to around 70 degrees. Some patchy areas of fog have developed over eastern parts of the region but widespread areas of fog are not expected this morning. The upper level ridge will remain over the central U.S. through Sunday. This will result in continued dry weather through the weekend. Patchy areas of fog could develop during the overnight hours each day but it is not expected to be widespread. Temperatures will remain above normal through Sunday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and lows in the mid 60s to around 70 degrees. By Monday, the upper level ridge starts to break down as an upper level low tracks across the Central Plains. A cold front will move into western Arkansas on Monday and will stall out across the Mid-South for Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front during this period. Temperatures will be cooler during this period especially behind the cold front with highs in the mid to upper 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 Surface high pressure will remain parked over the Midsouth through tonight. Light and variable winds this afternoon will become calm tonight. Late evening surface dewpoints will average 2-4 degrees F warmer than last evening. There remains some signal in the HREF guidance for patchy fog around MKL and TUP toward sunrise. PWB && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS AVIATION...PWB