Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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027
FNUS76 KMFR 270118
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Devils Knob Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
618 PM PDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on September 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A strong inversion is anticipated to set up
tonight, and this could lead to very poor smoke dispersion
Friday in the lowest 3000 feet. Of course, the main caveat is how
much smoke will actually be introduce into the atmosphere, but as
it stands now that inversion may not break at all through the
afternoon hours. Even during peak mixing in the afternoon, there
is evidence of a secondary inversion around 2000-3000ft that may
stick around all day. Light and variable winds expected to start
the day, but a northwest wind will become dominant in the
afternoon. Otherwise, dry and warm conditions are expected
through the next week.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 2 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  53  53  56  60  62  66  68  69  69  69  68
RH..............58  59  56  52  47  42  40  39  39  40  41  46
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   4   4   4   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   10  10  10  8
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   8   8   8   8

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast
                    3 to 5 mph overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....West winds around 2 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    2 mph early in the morning.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  63  58  56  56  55  55  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............52  60  68  74  75  75  74  71  68  65  64  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   9   7   7   7   3   3   3   5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming west 6 to
                    7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the west late in
                    the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 2 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming west up
                    to 3 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  55  55  57  60  63  65  67  68  68  67  65
RH..............60  59  57  55  52  49  48  46  46  47  49  52
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   2   2   2   4   4   4   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.7   7   5   5   5   6   6   6   8   8   8   11
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   8   8   8   10

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...Vincent Martino
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423117.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vincent.martino@usda.gov