161
FNUS76 KMFR 260310
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Upper Applegate 3900...ODF Medford
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
810 PM PDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 PDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...By 9pm, wind speeds will start to decrease, and
will remain relatively light (<4mph) through the overnight
period. Directionally speaking, some wind direction variability is
expected overnight, but a general northwest/north wind can be
expected. By midnight, forecast RH values should be on their way
above 40%, with overnight recoveries maxing out around 65-70
percent tonight/Wednesday morning. Overnight, a very dry and
stable layer is expected aloft (above the fire), and not expecting
very good mixing overnight. This stable airmass aloft may not
start mixing until about 11am tomorrow (Wednesday). Expecting
breezy/gusty winds from the northwest tomorrow ahead of this next
system. Wind speeds could be about 2-3 mph stronger tomorrow
afternoon for sustained and gusts compared to today. Peak wind is
expected between 2pm and 8pm tomorrow.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 5 mph in
                    the afternoon gusts around 15 mph
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 7 to 12 mph in
                    the afternoon gusts around 20 mph.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 4 mph with gusts to
                    around 7 mph in the evening becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north up to 3 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...Mariah Collins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416496.6/MFR
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch.medford1@odf.oregon.gov