649
FNUS76 KMFR 212047
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Upper Applegate 3900...ODF Medford
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
147 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 PDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today and tomorrow will be the peak of this hot and
warm stretch. Humidities will be at their lowest on Saturday,
before trending up through the weekend. Winds will be at their
strongest as a dry front moves through the region Saturday and
Sunday. While winds are expected to follow diurnal patterns today,
the dry front will cause the general wind to dominate the
direction. Expect upslope winds on easterly aspects to dominate
Saturday morning before the general wind overpowers the local wind
and all winds generally turn out of the north. Overnight recoveries
are expected to be above 70% the next three nights at least. Should
the fire burn up to a ridgetop, an east flow will be present with
much lower humidities 10-15% lower than what is forecast below.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of smoke moving to the south above
ground level.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of smoke early in
                    the evening, generally settling down
river towards Ruch.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest up to 3 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, down-slope/valley through
the night.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming northwest 2-4 above the inversion,
otherwise following downward drainage flows.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest 2-7 mph in
                    the afternoon, possibly north-northeast as
winds get funneled by the valley. Gusts
could reach around 18 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 3-8 mph in
the afternoon, gusting around 20 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...MILES
Requested by...Mariah Collins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416496.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch.medford1@odf.oregon.gov