Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 260938
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Spot Forecast for Triple N Ranch, Units 4 and 5...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
538 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light west to southwest winds will limit the inland extent of the
east coast sea breeze, and the boundary is forecast to remain east
of the burn site. Eastward moving showers and storms are forecast to
develop this afternoon ahead of the west coast sea breeze. Coverage
of showers and storms increases in vicinity of the burn site after 4 pm
as boundary collisions happen nearby. Winds become variable in
vicinity of thunderstorms generally remaining 35 mph or less.
High temperatures will climb into the low 90s. Muggy conditions will
produce heat index values up to 104 degrees. Poor to fair smoke
dispersion is forecast.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1000, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1200, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 2500 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 36 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 31.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  21  35  38  35  45  56  58  61  60
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  30  50  60  60  60  70
LAL.............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  79  83  86  88  88  89  88  89  89
RH..............100 92  81  75  69  67  64  66  65  66
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   9   9   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.3 4.8 3.6 2.5 2.3
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   7   5   6   7   7   9   9
Dispersion idx..6   13  20  27  25  31  39  32  29  32
LVORI...........8   5   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until
                    2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest around
                    5 mph late in the evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....23 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........57     55     41     25     12     13
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     40     20     0      0      0
LAL.............3      3      2      1      1      1
Temp............86     84     78     77     76     75
RH..............72     77     92     93     94     97
20 ft wind......S 6    S 5    SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.8      8      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   600    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   W 9
Dispersion idx..23     7      5      4      4      4
LVORI...........3      4      6      6      7      8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 58 late in the morning increasing
to 68 decreasing to 56 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........11        21        30        37
Weather cov.....          S CHC     S CHC     LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         20        20        60
LAL.............1         2         2         3
Temp............74        80        87        90
RH..............100       88        68        60
20 FT wind......SW 5G8    SW 6G10   SW 8G14   SW 8G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1800      3800      4000
Transport wind..SW 9      SW 10     W 13      W 15
Dispersion idx..4         25        61        66
LVORI...........9         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416688.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com