715
FXUS64 KMOB 231728
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024

VFR conditions will largely continue through the period. Local
reductions will be possible early Tuesday morning with the
development of patchy fog mainly over interior areas. Winds
remain light and southerly to southwesterly this afternoon before
becoming light and variable tonight. /14



&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024

An upper ridge over much of the Gulf and adjacent northern Gulf
coast states is deflected out of the forecast area through Tuesday
in response to a longwave trof which evolves over the central
states and begins to advance into the eastern states. A surface
ridge will be oriented near/along the northern Gulf coast today
and remains close to this position into Tuesday, and this allows
for a southerly to southeasterly flow to become established over
the forecast area today and continue into Tuesday. Despite the
movement of the upper ridge, waning subsidence effects look
sufficient to suppress convective development, although can`t rule
out a shower or storm developing each afternoon. Highs today
mostly range from 90 to 95, then highs on Tuesday will be mostly
in the lower 90s. Lows tonight and Tuesday night range from around
70 inland to 70-75 near the coast. A low risk of rip currents is
expected through Tuesday night. /29



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      71  91  71  86  70  79  68  84 /   0  10  20  70  70  70  40  20
Pensacola   74  89  75  85  72  79  71  84 /   0  10  30  70  80  80  40  20
Destin      75  88  75  85  73  80  74  84 /   0  10  30  60  80  80  50  20
Evergreen   68  93  69  87  70  79  68  83 /   0  10  20  70  80  80  50  30
Waynesboro  69  92  69  87  67  80  67  82 /   0  10  20  60  50  60  40  20
Camden      70  92  69  85  68  77  67  81 /   0   0  30  70  70  70  50  30
Crestview   69  93  70  86  71  79  67  85 /   0  10  30  70  80  90  50  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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