477
FNUS74 KMOB 201354
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for MSO Site Prep Burn...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
854 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on September 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today and Saturday, with
afternoon relative humidity values remaining above critical
levels. Minimum relative humidity values will range around 45
percent this afternoon. Transport winds will generally be
northeasterly today around 5 mph, becoming more easterly and
perhaps southeasterly on Saturday. 20ft winds will be
northeasterly at less than 5 mph. Dispersion index values will be
generally good around 55 today and Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Some light, patchy fog cannot be
ruled out across interior locations tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305-2042 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 54.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  84  87  89  90  91  91  91  89
RH..............79  63  57  48  49  47  45  47  50
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE N   N   NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.3 4.0 5.4 6.4 6.7 6.3 4.6 4.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   7
Trans wind dir..NE  NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   3
Dispersion idx..7   20  33  50  58  57  56  53  53
LVORI...........4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    6 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the east after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.East 2 to 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  84  79  77  76  75  74  73  72  72  70  70
RH..............55  61  72  76  79  79  84  87  90  87  93  90
20 FT wind dir..ENE ESE ESE ESE E   ESE E   E   ENE NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   ESE SE  SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE E   ENE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Trans wind dir..E   ESE SE  SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE E   ENE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Dispersion idx..53  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-2012 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 late in the morning increasing
                    to 54 early in the afternoon decreasing to 46.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  68  72  77  83  85  89  90  90  90  90  87
RH..............93  100 90  82  67  63  52  50  50  50  50  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   8   8   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 3.0 4.6 5.4 6.1 6.6 6.3 6.0 6.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.ENE ENE NE  ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   8   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Trans wind dir..ENE ENE NE  ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..2   5   6   10  27  42  53  57  56  51  46  46
LVORI...........7   8   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...3
Requested by...Ethan Darnell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422782.0/MOB
.DELDT 09/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ethan.Darnell@FDACS.gov