655
FXUS63 KMPX 242013
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
313 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will warm to near 80 by Wednesday and last
  through the weekend with continued dry conditions.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY, no significant changes from the previous
forecast as dry and mild weather continue to be the main story
for the rest of the month. Early afternoon satellite imagery,
radar, and surface obs showed a weak boundary across the region,
with a few light rain showers develop along it. Have added
sprinkles to the forecast, since the most likely scenario is for
only a few drops.

Light northwest winds will continue overnight, but did add some
patch fog to areas mainly along and east of I-35, and also
along the Minnesota River Valley where winds will be lighter. On
Wednesday, high pressure will remain in control keeping the
region dry. Southerly winds will develop on Thursday, and a
washed out frontal boundary will pass through the region Friday.
By this time, the remnants of Helene will have merged with an
Upper Level Low, which will cut off any moisture transport to
the region. The end result is continued dry and sunny weather
through the weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front is forecast to
pass through the region early next week, which will bring cooler
temperatures, but nothing in the way of appreciable rainfall.
The small chances for rain Monday and Tuesday are more likely to
decrease rather than increase given the current weather regime.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

VFR conditions expected throughout this duration. North-south
swath of upper-level clouds over far eastern MN into western WI
will slowly drift east and dissipate through the rest of the
day, keeping ceilings mainly over RNH but possibly reaching EAU.
Otherwise, only passing high clouds expected through this
afternoon with SKC conditions expected tonight under very stable
high pressure. Winds will become W to NW behind a passing dry
cold front, then become light/variable overnight through much of
tomorrow.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts becoming E.
SAT-SUN...VFR. Wind NE 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JRB
AVIATION...JPC