Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
443 FNUS55 KMSO 300934 FWFMSO Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Montana and N Cntrl Idaho National Weather Service Missoula MT 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .DISCUSSION... Idaho (Zones 102 and 103): Steady light to moderate rainfall will spread across north-central Idaho this morning and early afternoon. Wetting rains will be mostly favored for the districts north of Highway 12, where there is a 40-50% probability for up to 0.25" by sunset this evening. The region will remain under a northwesterly flow pattern through mid-week, leading to seasonable temperatures and mostly dry conditions. 80% of ensemble forecast guidance suggests the return of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation to end the week through next weekend. Northwest MT (Zones 104 and 105): Steady light to moderate rainfall will spread across northwest Montana this morning and early afternoon. Wetting rains will be mostly favored for the districts north of the I-90 Corridor, where there is a 50-60% probability for up to 0.25" by sunset this evening. The Flathead NF will have around a 50% probability of receiving up to 0.50" during the same period. The region will remain under a northwesterly flow pattern through mid-week, leading to seasonable temperatures, with daily showers mostly focused along the Divide in the Flathead NF. 80% of ensemble forecast guidance suggests the return of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation to end the week through next weekend. West Central MT (Zones 106, 107 and 108): Periodic light rainshowers will move through the region during the late morning and afternoon hours. Wetting rains will be mostly focused across the West Lolo, where there is a 60% probability for up to 0.25" through this evening. There will be a 30-40% probability for thunderstorms developing across the rest of the districts between 1500-1900 local, bringing spotty wetting rains to some. The region will remain under a northwesterly flow pattern through mid-week, leading to seasonable temperatures, with daily showers mostly focused in the most eastern areas of the East Lolo. 80% of ensemble forecast guidance suggests the return of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation to end the week through next weekend. Southwest MT (Zones 109, 110 and 111): Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop over the Beaverhead/Deerlodge NF this afternoon and evening between 1500-1900 local. Gusty winds in excess of 40 mph, along with small hail and brief heavy rain can be expected up these thunderstorms. Districts east of the I-15 corridor have the highest probability (60-70%) of seeing wetting rains through this evening. The region will remain under a northwesterly flow pattern through mid-week, leading to seasonable temperatures, along with daily showers. 80% of ensemble forecast guidance suggests the return of above- normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation to end the week through next weekend. View Fire Weather Briefing videos on our YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/NWSMissoula IDZ102-103-010945- Palouse/Hells Canyon-Clearwater/Nez Perce- 234 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.....75-85 valleys and 60-65 ridges. * Min Humidity........41-51 percent valleys and 47-57 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Variable less than 7 mph. * Ridge Top............West 10-15 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40-50 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....50-55 valleys and 40-50 ridges. * Max Humidity........68-78 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-10 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-10 mph. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. and slight chance of rain. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....75-85 valleys and 60-70 ridges. * Min Humidity........28-38 percent valleys and 38-48 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * Haines Index........3 very low. * LAL.................1 in the Palouse/Hells Canyon...and 3 in the Clearwater/Nez Perce. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 20-30 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 15-25 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. West winds 10-15 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 80-90. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 85-95. $$ MTZ104-105-010945- Kootenai-Flathead/Glacier Park- 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.....70-75 valleys and 55-65 ridges. * Min Humidity........49-59 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Southwest 10-15 mph. * Ridge Top............Southwest 10-15 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...70 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....45-50. * Max Humidity........100 percent valleys and 80-90 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Variable less than 5 mph in the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 2-5 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * LAL.................4. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....70-80 valleys and 53-63 ridges. * Min Humidity........39-49 percent valleys and 54-64 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 10-20 mph. * Ridge Top............West 10-20 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50-60. Highs 65-75. Min humidities 30-40 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 45-55. Highs 65-75. Min humidities 35-45 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. Northwest winds 10-15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. $$ MTZ106-108-010945- West Lolo-East Lolo- 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.....65-75 valleys and 58-68 ridges. * Min Humidity........41-51 percent valleys and 50-60 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Variable less than 7 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...70 percent in the West Lolo...and 10 percent in the East Lolo. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....45-50. * Max Humidity........75-85 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-10 mph in the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 2-5 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....68-78 valleys and 60-70 ridges. * Min Humidity........26-36 percent valleys and 39-49 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............West 10-20 mph. * Haines Index........3 very low. * LAL.................2. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain. Lows 50-60. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 20-30 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 25-35 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. West winds 10-15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 80-90. $$ MTZ107-010945- Flathead Reservation- 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.....75-80 valleys and 50-55 ridges. * Min Humidity........47-57 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Variable less than 7 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...70 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....50-55 valleys and 40-45 ridges. * Max Humidity........75-85 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Southwest 5-10 mph. * Ridge Top............Southwest 10-15 mph. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent in areas west of Highway 93...and 20 percent in the Mission Mtns and areas east of Highway 93. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the morning, then chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....75-80 valleys and 55-60 ridges. * Min Humidity........31-41 percent valleys and 45-55 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Southwest 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............West 10-20 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 50-60. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 25-35 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50-60. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 30-40 percent. Southwest winds 10-15 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. Northwest winds 10-15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 80-90. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 80-90. $$ MTZ109-010945- Bitterroot- 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....75-80 valleys and 60-65 ridges. * Min Humidity........40-50 percent valleys and 49-59 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Northwest 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............Northwest 5-15 mph. * Haines Index........3 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....40-50. * Max Humidity........88-98 percent valleys and 79-89 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Northwest 5-10 mph in the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 2-5 mph. * Ridge Top............Northwest 5-15 mph. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....75-80 valleys and 55-60 ridges. * Min Humidity........31-41 percent valleys and 41-51 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............West 10-20 mph. * Haines Index........3 very low. * LAL.................3 in the Darby, Sula, and West Fork Districts...and 2 in areas north of Hamilton. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45-55. Highs 65-75. Min humidities 20-30 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 65-75. Min humidities 20-30 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. West winds 10-20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 75-85. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 75-85. $$ MTZ110-111-010945- Deerlodge/West Beaverhead-East Beaverhead- 334 AM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.....73-83 valleys and 65-75 ridges. * Min Humidity........29-39 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Becoming west 5-15 mph in the afternoon. * Ridge Top............Southwest 10-20 mph. * Haines Index........4 low. * LAL.................4. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent in the Deerlodge/West Beaverhead...and 60 percent in the East Beaverhead. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.....40-50. * Max Humidity........94-100 percent valleys and 85-95 percent ridges. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......Northwest 5-15 mph becoming variable less than 5 mph after midnight. * Ridge Top............Northwest 5-15 mph. * LAL.................4. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.....65-75 valleys and 60-65 ridges. * Min Humidity........30-40 percent. * 20-Foot Winds....... * Lower Elevation......West 5-15 mph. * Ridge Top............West 5-15 mph. * Haines Index........3 very low. * LAL.................3. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 40-50. Highs 65-75. Min humidities 15-25 percent. West winds 10-15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. Min humidities 10-20 percent. West winds 10-20 mph. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 40-50. Highs 65-75. Northwest winds 10-20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 70-80. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-55. Highs 75-85. $$