Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
943 FNUS75 KMSO 151241 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Elkhorn Ridge Fire National Weather Service Missoula MT 641 AM MDT Sun Sep 15 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on September 15. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Weather will remain mostly unsettled throughout the week. Humidity will trend higher each day through Tuesday, as cloud cover and moisture increases. There will be chances for light rain today. Tonight, there will be about a 20% chance for thunderstorms. More widespread rain begins on Monday night into Tuesday night, with a 40% chance of seeing one inch of rain in 48 hours. .REST OF TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. * Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Max Temperature.....69-74. * Min Humidity........30-35 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 2-4 mph becoming northwest 4-6 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl increasing to 6500 ft agl late in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........East 10 mph shifting to the south 10 mph in the afternoon. * Haines Index........3 very low. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........94 92 81 89 92 94 89 79 77 61 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............51 53 55 59 61 66 69 69 71 69 RH..............53 54 52 48 44 45 38 34 34 35 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 5.0 6.5 6.0 5.0 Transp wind dir.E NE NE E SE S S S SW S Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely overnight. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. * Chance Lightning....15 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1 until 2400, then 2 until 0300, then 1. * Min Temperature.....48-53. * Max Humidity........69-74 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........North 4-6 mph. * Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl decreasing to 1500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........North 10 mph shifting to the southeast 5 mph early in the morning. * Precip Amount.......0.01 inches. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........69 59 62 56 63 73 80 94 96 96 90 91 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RN RN RN RW RW RW RN RN RN Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 LAL.............2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 Temp............69 68 63 60 59 57 57 56 55 55 54 52 RH..............35 42 49 53 55 58 59 59 63 64 66 68 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 3 2 2 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Transp wind dir.N NW NE N N NE NE NE NE NE E SE Transp wind spd.5 5 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the morning, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent. * Chance Lightning....25 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Max Temperature.....68-73. * Min Humidity........39-44 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 3-5 mph, becoming west 4-6 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft agl late in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph becoming 10 mph late in the afternoon. * Haines Index........3 very low. * Precip Amount.......0.11 inches. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........84 90 80 75 47 59 71 71 71 71 71 71 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 Chc of ltng (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Temp............52 51 50 52 55 58 62 65 68 70 70 68 RH..............66 74 76 75 72 65 57 50 45 42 43 46 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE W W W 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.5 4.5 3.5 Transp wind dir.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Lukinbeal Requested by...Bret Lewis Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2420735.13/MSO .DELDT 09/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bret.lewis@usda.gov