196
FNUS75 KMSO 151407
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
807 AM MDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on September 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Weather will remain mostly unsettled through the
middle of next week. Humidity will trend higher each day through
Tuesday, as cloud cover and moisture increases. Atmospheric
instability will increase tonight into Monday afternoon, with
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms developing.
Precipitation will become more widespread Monday night into
Tuesday, with a 75% chance for at least 0.35 inches of rain and a
25% chance for 0.75 inches or more.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Max Temperature.....65-70.
* Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming northwest 4-7 mph
  in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft agl late in
  the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening,
  then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms
  overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* LAL.................2.
* Min Temperature.....45-50.
* Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 4-6 mph.
* Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Northeast 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01 inches.

.MONDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning,
  then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
  the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....25 percent.
* LAL.................2.
* Max Temperature.....66-71.
* Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming southeast around
  5 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl increasing to 7500 ft agl in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 10 mph.
* Haines Index........3 very low.
* Precip Amount.......0.02-0.05 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Chris Kramer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422485.0/MSO
.DELDT 09/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.m.kramer@usda.gov