Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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167 FXUS64 KOHX 180542 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1242 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 A hot, humid air mass has settled over Middle Tennessee, and our current weather pattern will continue throughout the 7-day forecastperiod. High pressure centered to our east is keeping a southerly flow over the region, hence the persistent heat and mugginess. A swath of gulf-moisture has been responsible for scattered convection along the Tennessee River during the past several hours. It appears that this moisture band will drift westward today and tonight, with lessening POPs across the mid state on Tuesday, and dry conditions for the bulk of the mid state from Wednesday onward. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Rain and storm chances won`t return to Middle Tennessee until Sunday and into early next week as a surface boundary rides down a northwest flow aloft. It is also possible that we could see some tropical effects later next week coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, but this is a long way off. It`s rare to see tropical effects in Middle Tennessee this early in the season, so we won`t hype this up too much. Temperatures for the next 7 days will consistently top out in the mid to upper 90s across much of the region, and there is no relief from the heat forthcoming anytime soon. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 A Bermuda-type high pressure center is set up to our east, both at the surface and aloft, and this will keep VFR wx locked in over Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future. A band of moisture being advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico has been producing convection along the Tennessee River, but this moisture looks to shift farther eastward on Tuesday, with only low POPs mainly west of I-65. Have not included any convection in the TAFs. Winds will be light/calm through most of the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 93 73 91 71 / 10 0 0 0 Clarksville 90 72 90 69 / 20 10 0 0 Crossville 85 65 85 64 / 10 0 0 0 Columbia 92 71 91 68 / 10 0 0 0 Cookeville 88 69 87 67 / 20 0 0 0 Jamestown 87 67 86 66 / 20 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 90 72 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 93 72 91 68 / 10 0 0 0 Waverly 90 72 89 69 / 20 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Rose