932
FXUS64 KOHX 281638
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1138 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

The heat is definitely on in Middle Tennessee. High pressure is
now situated to our east, so we`re picking up some return
southerly flow that is sending our temperatures soaring while also
slowly increasing our dew points. Tomorrow will be even more
oppressive as a surface boundary closes in on Middle Tennessee
from the northwest. We expect enough additional humidity tomorrow
that we are going to issue a Heat Advisory for most of Middle
Tennessee west of the Cumberland Plateau for tomorrow. In
addition, we expect scattered convection to develop in the pre-
frontal environment. While this may provide some temporary relief
in some locations, we still expect many locations to reach a heat
index of 105F+. It is worth noting that the SPC`s day 2 outlook
does include a tiny sliver of a marginal risk across our northern
counties, but out risk of severe storms on Saturday minimal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Our chance for convection will peak on Saturday night and Sunday
with the expected passage of the aforementioned surface boundary.
So we will dry out by Sunday evening and we`ll also enjoy a sunny
and much cooler Monday, but the heat will start to build back in
by Tuesday, with above-normal warmth expected to persist the
remainder of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

VFR conditions thru 29/12Z. Isolated shwrs/tstms afternoon hours
possible Cumberland Plateau Region, but not enough confidence in
development to mention impacting/vcnty either. Sfc high pressure
apex centered across Great Lakes Region will shift E to New
England coastline by 29/12Z. Light sfc winds shifting to
prevailing S/light after 28/14Z with initial SKC conditions
becoming BKN CI with sct CU/AC also expected SRB/CSV.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      94  78  96  77 /  10   0  30  40
Clarksville    92  75  94  75 /  10   0  30  40
Crossville     88  70  86  70 /  10  10  60  50
Columbia       94  74  96  74 /  10   0  30  60
Cookeville     89  73  89  72 /  10  10  40  50
Jamestown      88  72  88  71 /  10  10  50  50
Lawrenceburg   92  73  94  73 /  10   0  30  60
Murfreesboro   94  75  96  74 /  10   0  40  50
Waverly        92  75  95  74 /   0   0  30  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Giles-Hickman-Houston-
Humphreys-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Perry-
Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Wayne-
Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....JB Wright