Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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502 FXUS63 KPAH 160805 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 305 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Triple digit or close to it heat index today through Monday, and again heading into next weekend. - Daily storm chances Monday thru Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 305 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Upper level ridge of high pressure is anchored across the southeast this morning with upstream troughing across the northern plains. A surface high across New England will move southeast into the Atlantic waters today allowing sfc winds to continue to veer toward the south. Similar to yesterday, temperatures will be warm, if not a degree or two warmer. Highs in the low to mid 90`s will be found area wide today. Increasing southerly flow will advect higher dewpoints into the region, with localized pooling possible as well. This will send heat indices to 100 or just shy of 105 degrees by the afternoon. An afternoon shower or storm is possible across portions of western Kentucky but most areas should remain dry. Warm temperatures will continue through this week. The upper ridge will remain parked across the mid Atlantic through the first half of the week before becoming elongated and spreading westward by mid to late week. A couple afternoon showers and storms remain a possibility Mon-Wed. The best chances for rain/storms will be west of the Mississippi River. The increased cloud cover and rain/storms will keep temperatures just a bit cooler (upper 80`s to lower 90`s Mon-Tue) before increasing heights drive temperatures back up into the mid 90`s Wed through Sun. The upper level high is expected to break down this coming weekend providing additional chances of rain. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1057 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Light E-ESE winds overnight will become S-SSW at 5-10 kts after 15z as high pressure to our northeast shifts to the south. SCT- BKN diurnal CU will develop during the 15-18z period, persisting through 00-03z Monday. Cannot rule out a few stray showers or thunderstorms developing during the heat of the afternoon/early evening, but confidence in coverage and timing was too low to include at this time. Late Sunday night, winds will relax, remaining southerly, under passing high cirrus clouds. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...Air Quality Alert until midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...DWS