Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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986 FXUS63 KPAH 180810 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 310 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions and warming trend are forecast through the rest of the week and the first half of the weekend. - Dry relative humidity levels will lead to slightly elevated fire weather concerns through Thursday. - A weak cold front will bring a slight chance of showers Sunday into Monday, along with slightly cooler temperatures. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 309 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Some patchy ground fog has been observed this morning across the portions of the Quad State; otherwise, fairly quiet weather conditions are in place with temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s. Sky conditions are mostly clear across much of the area; however, some stratus are drifting into Hopkins to McLean down to Todd County. A dry surface ridge will linger across the Quad State area through much of the week. At the same time, an upper-level ridge axis will shift from the Plains eastward across the entire Quad State region. This will keep very quiet weather in place with dry conditions lingering through much of the week. The main concern will be lower afternoon relative humidity values with deeper afternoon mixing. This will lead to relative humidity values dropping into the 25-35% range through Thursday afternoon. Winds will remain fairly light, but the very dry air coupled with above normal temperatures may lead to an increase in grass fires/brush fires. The main concern for this will be locations that did not receive much rainfall over the past week. The next chance of precipitation doesn`t show up in the forecast until Sunday or Monday as a weak cold front approaches the area. Overall moisture is set to increase; however, the lack of overall forcing doesn`t justify much more than an isolated chance of showers and storms. Definitely nothing that looks like a drought buster through this entire forecast issuance. Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s through the weekend before cooling off slightly into early next week. In fact increased cloud cover and some precipitation may end up keeping temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for Monday and Tuesday of next week. Overnight lows are expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1112 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 Clear skies and light surface winds will allow for fog development at mainly CGI, PAH, and MVN. Higher confidence at CGI where IFR/LIFR conditions are forecast. VFR forecast for Wednesday at all sites. Winds should remain light at or around 5 knots. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KC AVIATION...AD