Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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557
FNUS75 KPUB 182348
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
548 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow will be much cooler across the project area
with higher humidity values. Rain showers along with scattered
thunderstorms are expected across the through Wednesday night.

Temperatures will quickly start to warm again starting on
Thursday, with scattered afternoon showers and storms each day
into the weekend. As we move further out in the forecast,
conditions begin to dry somewhat later this weekend into next
week, though there will still be a chance of afternoon showers and
isolated storms each day.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....42-45F.
Max humidity........75-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East-northeast 5-8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds possible near thunderstorms until 1900.
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl until 2000, then 2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 14 mph until 1900, then around 7
                    mph until 0500, then southeast around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  61  54  48  50  52  54  52  50  48  55  62
Weather cov.....SCH                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  66  58  55  52  51  49  48  47  46  46  45
RH..............29  33  43  50  53  57  59  61  63  66  68  73
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   8   8   8   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  12  12  12  6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.E   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  E   E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.14  12  13  13  12  9   10  9   8   8   7   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100062  34  25  24  16  14  18  21  20  19  15  14

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (67 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 0900, then 4.
Max temperature.....61-64F.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-7 mph until 0900, then southeast
                    11-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
                    thunderstorms after 0700.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Fair after 1200.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  70  71  73  71  69  67  65  63  61  65  70
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
LAL.............1   3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
Temp............44  48  49  50  54  55  56  58  59  61  62  61
RH..............77  71  74  74  67  68  65  63  64  60  60  62
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   9   9   9   14  14  14  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  15  15  15  21  21  21  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  13  15  14  17  18  20  21  22  21
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100015  19  23  30  36  37  45  57  67  64  57  57

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (64 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    slight chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
Min temperature.....50-53F.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10-14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  74  74  75  72  70  68  67  67  67  60  54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............60  59  55  55  53  52  52  52  52  52  51  51
RH..............66  70  80  80  89  93  96  93  93  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  12  12  12  10  10  10  8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.24  24  24  23  23  23  21  21  21  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  20  17  15  15  15  15  14  14  13  13  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100048  34  27  18  17  17  17  16  15  14  14  15

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (39 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....79-82F.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13-17 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 1100, then 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good after 1100.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  42  36  30  31  32  46  46  46  46  46  46
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............53  57  63  69  74  77  80  81  81  81  81  80
RH..............86  77  65  53  44  39  35  34  33  33  33  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   13  13  13  16  16  16  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  25  25  25  31  31  31  31  31  31
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 7.0 6.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  17  17  18  18  20  22  23  21  20
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100015  22  30  39  56  78  96  111 135 153 122 100

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 63 to 83. Southwest winds around 15 mph. Gusts up to
30 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 57.
Highs 64 to 84. West winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 58.
Highs 66 to 86. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 60.
Highs 69 to 90.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 62. Highs 68 to 90.

$$
Forecaster...MOORE
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.11/PUB
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0