170
FXUS63 KSGF 160004
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
704 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  15-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms through 10 PM.

-  Heat and humidity will continue through Monday then return
   late next week.

-  Daily chances for isolated showers and thunderstorms (15-30%)
   thanks to the hot and humid air mass.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Another hot and humid day today with highs in the low 90s and
heat indices in the mid to upper 90s.

There`s about a 15-30% chance of seeing isolated showers and
storms this afternoon and evening, but most areas will stay dry.
The strongest storms may produce gusty, non-severe winds.

For tonight, lows will drop into the upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Precip Potential: Sunday looks dry but every other day through
the long term has 15-30% PoPs as a warm, humid airmass stays in
place. No focus for organized severe weather has been
identified at this time.

Temperatures/Heat: Sunday and Monday will see highs in the low
to mid 90s and heat index values in the mid to upper 90s, but
overnight lows in the low 70s will bring some relief. Tuesday
through Thursday will see highs in the 80s and heat index values
in the mid 80s to low 90s, along with overnight lows in the 60s.
Heat returns Friday into next weekend with highs in the low 90s
and heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. Overnight lows
late in the week will be in the upper 60s to low 70s, which
limits overall heat concerns some.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 651 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue through 03Z in
the vicinity of Branson. MVFR and brief IFR visibility can be
expected beneath any thunderstorms. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected across southern Missouri through Sunday morning.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms (20% chance) will again be
possible Sunday afternoon in the general vicinity of Springfield
and Branson. Confidence in thunderstorms is a bit too low at
this time to include a PROB30 group.

Surface winds will become light this evening before increasing
out of the southwest on Sunday. Gusts approaching 20 knots will
occur around Joplin and Springfield from late Sunday morning
into the afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Schaumann