Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
632 FXUS66 KSGX 130401 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 901 PM PDT Wed Jun 12 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Marine layer night and morning low clouds and fog will persist along the coast, into the valleys at times, each day into next week. Tomorrow is expected to be a few degrees cooler than today for most locations. Another bout of warming is expected for Friday and Saturday, most noticeable in the lower deserts. Seasonal to slightly below average temperatures will return Sunday through the middle of next week. Periods of gusty southwest to west winds are expected in the mountains and deserts each afternoon and evening into next week. Gusty westerly winds combined with dry and hot conditions in the deserts and desert mountain slopes will create elevated fire weather conditions through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... Update... The 00z Miramar sounding showed a 5.5C degree inversion based near 1100 feet, quite a bit more shallow than the observed sounding from this morning. Low clouds are moving inland across San Diego County coastal areas, and will fill in across Orange County in the next few hours. Patchy drizzle will be possible overnight and tomorrow morning. A weakening upper low will pass over the region tomorrow, promoting slight cooling. Warmer for Friday and Saturday, with moderate to locally high heat risk developing in the deserts. Previous Discussion (Issued 132 PM PDT Wed Jun 12 2024)... Visible satellite at 1 PM this afternoon showed a few patches of low clouds lingering along portions of the northern San Diego and southern Orange County coast. Low clouds are expected to fill inland overnight again tonight, reaching into portions of the valleys, with periods of patchy drizzle. A similar clearing pattern is expected tomorrow, with low clouds clearing inland but locally lingering at beaches in the afternoon. A weak low pressure system will move inland through southern California late Thursday. As a result, a few degrees of cooling are expected for most areas Thursday. The cooling trend will be brief as a weak high pressure system sets up over southeastern California, southern Nevada, and western Arizona Friday and Saturday. For Friday, highs will be a degree or two warmer for the coast and 2-6 degrees warmer for the valleys, mountains, and deserts. Warming will continue into Saturday, which will be the peak of this brief warming trend. Highs are expected to be 3-7 degrees above average for the coast and western valleys and 6-12 degrees above average for portions of the eastern valleys, mountains, and deserts. Moderate to locally major heat risk is expected in the low deserts, with ares of moderate heat risk in the Inland Empire, mountains, and High Desert. During this time its recommended that folks stay hydrated and limit outdoor physical activities between 10am and 5pm. A low pressure system moves inland through the western states Sunday into the middle of next week, bringing seasonal to slightly below average temperatures to the area. Cooling conditions are expected for most areas Sunday and Monday, with a few degrees of warming expected by Tuesday. The increase in onshore flow with the passing trough will also allow for the marine layer to deepen again with low clouds reaching into the valleys. && .AVIATION... 130310Z...Coast/Valleys...BKN-OVC010-013 tops 018 through 05Z lowering to 005-010 through 15Z with areas VIS 2-4SM in FG/HZ. Clouds/fog may reach as far inland as KONT at 12Z but not likely to reach KSBD. Clouds clearing from the valleys through 18Z, and from the coastal areas 19-23Z. Mountains/Deserts...SKC with unrestricted VIS. && .MARINE... No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Saturday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Excessive Heat Watch from Friday morning through Saturday evening for Coachella Valley-San Diego County Deserts-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...EA AVIATION/MARINE...Moede