231
FXUS64 KSHV 180638
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
138 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 113 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

The remnants of Francine has finally move out of the region, as
it got absorbed by a deepening trough across the Lower
Mississippi Valley and SE CONUS. Upper ridging has build across
the region in wake of Francine remnants, which has brought us
mostly clear skies and light winds this morning. Short-term progs
suggest widespread patchy fog will develop over the area in the
next few hours, diminishing a couple hours after daybreak. At this
time, not expecting widespread dense fog, but we will monitor
this closely. Partly cloudy skies and warmer conditions will
return to the region today, with highs climbing into the lower 90s
areawide.


Quiet and warmer conditions will continue into Thursday. Morning
lows will start off in the upper 60s to lower 70s again, followed
by partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 90s. /20/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 113 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Upper ridging is expected to remain in place from the end of the
work week through the early portions of next week. Expect quiet
and mostly sunny conditions during this period, with highs in the
low to mid 90s, and overnight lows remaining in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. As we move into the middle portions of next week, the
ridge will flatten out and start to shift eastward, as an
approaching longwave trough moves into the Southern Plains out of
the Rockies. Long-range progs continue to suggest the trough
could make it into our extreme northern sections as early as
Tuesday evening, just north of the Interstate 30 corridor, resulting
in rain chances across portions of Southeast Oklahoma and
adjacent Southwest Arkansas. The trough and associated cool front
is expected to push into the region on Wednesday, bringing a
return in widespread rain chances. /20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Mostly a cloud free airspace ovhd attm and will prevail that
to begin the 06z TAF package. With light winds, may see some basin
fog spread out and impact a few terminals closer to sunrise and
some of this could become dense but will hold off on anything
other than MVFR reductions to VSBY with this package and address
anything more dense with the 12z TAF package. Otherwise, a weak cu
field will develop today but it should not be as expansive or
concentrated as what we have seen the last couple days. Thus,
beyond mid morning with any VSBY concerns, VFR conditions should
prevail through the day and into the evening hours tonight. Look
for mostly variable winds under 10kts today.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  91  73  93  74 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  90  69  91  68 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  89  66  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  89  70  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  89  66  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  93  73  95  73 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  92  71  93  72 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  92  73  92  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...13