Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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400 FXUS64 KSHV 221727 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1227 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1054 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 As of 10:45 AM, temperatures are already in the upper 80s (even lower 90s already in some areas) with mostly sunny skies. Afternoon temperature maximums will reach the mid-to-upper 90s with light southerly winds. With weather and observed trends continuing as anticipated, forecast grid adjustments were not necessary at this time. /16/ && .SHORT TERM... (Saturday through Sunday) Issued at 145 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Upper-level ridging will begin to shift west today, setting the stage for our extended hot period into next week. Truthfully, there are only so many ways I can tell you "It`s going to be hot." Given the lack of anything else in the short-term, I`ll just I`ll just skip straight to telling you "The long-term is also hot." /44/ && .LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through Saturday) Issued at 145 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 The long-term is also hot. By Monday, we will likely be looking at our first "area-wide" issuance for heat hazards, with most of the region reaching heat advisory criteria. This trend will continue for the next few days, and may end up lasting the entire week, with heat index values over 105 degrees. There remains the chance for at least some relief Wednesday into Thursday, as a trough and cold front begin to move through the Midwest. This trough may increase shower and thunderstorm chances across some of the region, but the overall extent in PoP coverage and total QPF amounts still remains to be seen. The pattern will at least somewhat break down into next weekend, as rain chances return in the afternoon in the form of diurnal sea breeze convection. However, highs will still likely hold in the upper-90s, with low-100`s not out of the question. /44/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Surface and upper-level ridge of high pressure to maintain dry conditions through the TAF period ending 23/18Z. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots across most locations expected today, becoming light and variable overnight. Winds forecast to increase to 5 to 10 knots again on Sunday. Otherwise, VFR skies to prevail with few to scattered clouds possible. /05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 78 99 79 100 / 0 0 0 10 MLU 74 98 78 99 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 72 97 73 97 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 75 99 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 73 98 76 98 / 0 0 0 10 TYR 75 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 75 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 10 LFK 73 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...05