215
FXUS64 KSJT 240926
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
426 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 421 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Radar imagery (as of 430 AM) continues to show the scatted rain
showers and/or thunderstorms across the region, especially near
Abilene and Brownwood. This activity is expected to continue
through this evening intermittently. Lighter rainfall totals of a
tenth of an inch to around a quarter of an inch are expected.
Chances will remain lower (20-30 percent) given the lower
coverage. Otherwise, some areas of patchy fog are possible this
morning in addition to the rain. Some locations, including San
Angelo, and Junction are reporting some minor visibility
reductions to around 5 statute mile or so. This will hopefully
clear up quickly after sunrise.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

-Dry weather with warming temperatures

No significant changes in the long term from the previous
forecast. Early Wednesday, an upper level low will be moving
southeast from the Midwest into the mid-south region, and will
drive a cold front into the area. Models still show the potential
for a few showers and thunderstorms during the morning hours
Wednesday along this front, mainly south and east of a Brownwood
to Sonora line, so have kept some 20% PoPs in the forecast from
12Z to 18Z Wednesday. Wednesday through early next week, models
are in fairly good agreement that the aforementioned low will
drift from the deep south back to the north towards the Great
Lakes region as an upper level ridge remains anchored over the
southwestern U. S. That will keep our area underneath
northwesterly flow, and generally dry conditions will temperatures
near or a few degrees above normal through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Recent radar imagery, as of 520z, indicates some rain shower
development is already occurring north of KSJT. Scattered rain
showers and/or thunderstorms are possible across the region
throughout the TAF period. An occasional brief period of MVFR
ceilings are possible as place well. Expect winds to generally be
light. The increased moisture and light winds should be conducive
for patchy fog to develop intermittently. IFR conditions are
possible where the fog develops.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     87  64  82  58 /  20  30  10   0
San Angelo  89  65  85  58 /  10  20  10   0
Junction    88  65  85  58 /  30  20  10   0
Brownwood   87  65  82  57 /  30  40  10   0
Sweetwater  88  64  82  59 /  10  10   0   0
Ozona       88  65  85  58 /  10  10  10   0
Brady       86  65  82  58 /  30  20  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...41