092
FXUS64 KSJT 151711
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1211 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

A rather rinse-and-repeat forecast is on tap for the short-term. The
shortwave trough responsible for this evening`s shower and
thunderstorm activity across eastern New Mexico and the Texas
Panhandle will continue to move east into Oklahoma today, leaving
our area in weak northwest flow aloft. Partly to mostly sunny skies
will allow temperatures to climb back into the mid and upper 90s,
with some locations in the western Big Country and Concho Valley
potentially reaching triple digits. Similar to yesterday, isolated
to scattered thunderstorms will form well off to our west across the
southern High Plains and the higher terrain of Southwest Texas
during the afternoon and evening hours. Unfortunately, hi-resolution
guidance consistently shows this activity dissipating as it starts
to approach our area so local impacts should be limited to some
increased cloud cover, especially across the Big Country. Overnight
lows will continue on their mild trend in the low to mid 70s.
&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Expect mainly hot and dry conditions through early next week as an
upper level ridge builds across the Southern Plains. Highs will be
in the 90s to around 102 with lows only cooling into the 70s. Please
follow heat safety precautions. An influx of tropical moisture from
the Gulf of Mexico and weak upper level disturbances will bring a
low chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.
Temperatures will be cooler with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s
due to potential rainfall and cloud cover.
&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Satellite images and surface observations indicate mid level
clouds continue to develop across southeast portions of the CWA
with a few high clouds moving across the rest of west central
Texas early this afternoon. Expect VFR conditions to prevail
across the CWA the rest of the afternoon into this evening as
northerly flow aloft continues to provide subsidence across the
area. Some MVFR conditions may develop across portions of the
northwest Hill Country late tonight into early Sun morning as low
level moisture allows some low clouds to develop.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     75  95  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  75 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  92  73  92 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75  98  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  92  72  92 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...61