579
FXUS64 KSJT 240507
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1207 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 214 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

High pressure will continue to slowly build across the region. Hot
and dry conditions will result. A few areas will likely see the
triple digits across the region this afternoon into early next
week as the temperatures will continue on an upward trend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

The 500mb ridge will continue to be the main feature driving weather
conditions through the upcoming week.  The ridge should build in
over Texas with heights topping out at 592 dam, while 850mb
temperatures look to be in the 18-22 deg C range, pushing to 24 deg
C by midweek. As a result, afternoon temperatures are expected to be
in the upper 90s to around 100 to start the week, then reach the 100-
105 degree range for Wednesday and Thursday.  Southerly surface flow
should also keep humidity levels up, with dewpoints of 65-70
expected. Overnight lows will likely be in the upper 70s due to the
muggy conditions. One potential limiting factor, given the steady
low-level moisture, could be lingering cloud cover from nightly
stratus decks that may occur from the Concho Valley southward. These
areas may end up being several degrees cooler than areas north of
the Concho Valley. Towards the end of the week, models show the
ridge starting to break down as a cold front drops into Oklahoma and
north Texas.  Chances for rain still look fairly low at this time,
but this will monitored over the next couple of days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Satellite images and surface observations indicate mostly clear
skies across the CWA late tonight. Expect VFR conditions to
prevail across west central Texas early Monday morning through
Mon afternoon as the 500mb ridge across most of the state of Texas
provides subsidence across the area. Winds will be light and
variable overnight into Mon morning. Light southerly winds will
prevail across the area through Mon afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  78  99  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo 100  77 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    97  75  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   96  76  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  98  77 100  78 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       96  75  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       94  75  96  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...61