Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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645 FXUS64 KSJT 271901 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 201 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 154 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 An upper level ridge will continue to dominate the weather across West Central Texas through the next 24 hours, resulting generally dry and hot conditions. An isolated shower or thunderstorms is possible this afternoon, mainly across our eastern counties, but most locations are forecast to remain dry. Otherwise, dry conditions will continue through Friday. Expect overnight lows in the mid 70s to near 80. Highs on Friday will top out in the 104 to 106 range across much of the Concho Valley, Heartland, and Big Country. In addition, heat index values in these locations will top out in the 103 to 108 range so the Heat Advisory has been extended through 7 PM Friday. Elsewhere, expect highs in the upper 90s to near 100, remaining below Heat Advisory criteria. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 243 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Hot and dry conditions will continue under an upper ridge into next week. Temperatures may fall a degree or two Saturday into Monday, then warm a degree or two, Tuesday into Wednesday. A Heat advisory again expected Friday over the Big Country, Concho Valley and Heartland, with heat indices in the 105 to 108 range. Winds will increase slightly, becoming gusty at times this weekend, as a lee trough develops in West Texas. The upper ridge may weaken towards the 4th of July, and along with a weak cold front July 5, may allow the development of isolated thunderstorms. This remains beyond the 7 day forecast, and confidence is low. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1148 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Southeast winds of 8 to 12 knots will decrease to 10 knots or less by mid to late evening. Expect south winds to increase to 10 to 15 knots by mid to late evening Friday. Isolated showers are possible this afternoon, mainly at KBBD, but confidence is too low to include in the current TAFs. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 79 103 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 78 105 78 102 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 76 100 77 99 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 77 101 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 79 105 79 102 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 74 100 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 77 99 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for Brown-Callahan-Coke- Coleman-Concho-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-McCulloch-Nolan- Runnels-San Saba-Shackelford-Sterling-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...Daniels