710
FXUS64 KSJT 212307
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

As of this afternoon, skies were partly cloudy with temperatures
hovering around 90 and winds from the south at 10 to 15 MPH.  Unlike
the past few days an upper level ridge, currently located over the
Tennessee Valley, has started to build in across central Texas. This
feature should help to suppress most chances for rain today and
tomorrow and allow warmer temperatures to occur. Another round of
nocturnal stratus is expected to develop and build in late tonight
across the Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill Country areas.  This
cloud cover should burn off by late morning.  Other than a few
showers along and south of the I-10 corridor this afternoon,
precipitation is not expected through tomorrow evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

For the weekend, we continue the warming trend across the region
as dry conditions make a return. A high pressure system will
develop across the southwestern U.S., which will leave us on the
eastern end of this system. This will be the root cause of our hot
and dry conditions. Some locations may make a return to the
triple digits early next week. In fact, heat indexes near 105
degrees are possible, which will increase the likelihood for heat
related illnesses.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Isolated SHRA south of a Big Lake to San Saba line through 06Z
could bring brief, local MVFR/IFR conditions. Otherwise, VFR
conditions should continue through 09Z. 09Z-14Z, MVFR CIGs
expected to develop south of a KMAF to KSJT to K81R line,
impacting KSOA and KJCT. There is a chance that MVFR CIGs impact
KSJT and KBBD as well, but confidence too low to include in TAFs.
Meanwhile, VFR conditions should continue elsewhere. 14Z-16Z,
expect conditions to improve to VFR. 16Z today to 00Z Sun,
widespread VFR conditions expected. Winds from the SE will weaken
to around the 5-8 KT speed by 02Z and continue at that
speed while turning more out of the S direction through 14Z. 14Z
today through 00Z Sun, winds S 8-11 KT with gusts of 13-16 KT
expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  94  73  97 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  70  96  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  91  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   71  91  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  72  95  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       69  90  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  90  70  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...SJH