592
FXUS64 KSJT 170523
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1223 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

No significant changes from the previous forecast. The upper
level ridge will generally remain over the area through Tuesday,
keeping temperatures warmer than normal, and rain chances low. The
HRRR and NAMNest do show an isolated shower or two this
evening and tomorrow afternoon, but will keep the forecast dry as
the coverage is expected to be so sparse that it doesn`t need
mentioning. Otherwise, look for lows tonight in the upper 60s to
lower 70s, and highs on Tuesday generally in the mid 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 212 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

The large scale pattern over the CONUS through the next several
days will be characterized by a broad upper level trough over the
western U.S. and an upper level low over the eastern U.S. Upper
level ridging will be in place over the southern Plains keeping
our area generally dry with warmer than normal temperatures
through the remainder of the work week. A weak shortwave will pass
overhead on Wednesday, but it appears showers and thunderstorms
will remain north of our area. Otherwise, highs will be in the
mid 90s with some upper 90s likely on Thursday and Friday.

Going into the weekend, the western U.S. upper low will begin to
eject eastward across the Rockies. A shortwave trough rounding the
base of the low will translate eastward into the Plains on
Saturday and Sunday. The exact evolution of this feature will
determine rain chances as well as a possible cold front working
its way into the region. There is still quite a bit of
uncertainty this far out, but will show cooler temperatures by
Sunday and Monday along with a slight chance of PoPs.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

In general, VFR conditions with light southeast winds will prevail
across West Central Texas terminals through Wednesday morning.
There may be a brief window of some MVFR cigs around KSOA as some
low cloudiness across the Rio Grande Valley works its way
northward towards the area. Even if it does make it to the
terminal location, should only last a few hours at worst.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  96  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  72  96  73  97 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   70  96  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  73  95  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       71  92  73  93 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...07