426
FXUS64 KSJT 211113
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
613 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Warmer and drier conditions are expected today under a rebuilding
upper-level ridge over West Central Texas. This stabilizing
airmass will keep most of the area warm and dry with decreasing
clouds starting later this morning and continuing into the
weekend. The only exception will be a few lingering showers and
thunderstorms possible along and south of the I-10 corridor,
mainly across parts of Crockett County later this morning and
afternoon. Afternoon high temperatures today will reach into the
mid 80s to mid 90s, with overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower
70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

This weekend will be dry for our area with temperatures trending
hotter. This to occur as an upper level ridge shifts from the lower
Mississippi Valley west across Texas. Should have some low cloud
development over our southern and southeastern counties early
Saturday and Sunday mornings, but otherwise skies will be mostly
sunny. Expect highs Saturday to range from the lower 90s in the
Heartland and our southern counties, to mid/upper 90s farther
north and west in the Big Country and Concho Valley. Highs Sunday
will range from the mid 90s in our southern counties/Heartland to
the upper 90s/around 100 in the Big Country and Concho Valley.

The upper ridge will continue to shift west, and will be centered
over Arizona/New Mexico Tuesday through Thursday. This will be our
dominant weather influence. With this setup, a strong 850 mb thermal
ridge to our west will expand east and result in highs ranging from
95-100 degrees in our southern/southeastern counties, to 100-105 in
much of the Big Country and Concho Valley. Expect overnight lows to
be mostly in the mid to upper 70s Tuesday through Thursday.

With our area progged to be on the eastern side of the
aforementioned ridge aloft next week, medium range models show some
indication for the trailing portion of a cold front to move south
into our area Wednesday or Wednesday night before washing out.
Depending on the strength and proximity of the ridge, the Big
Country may have a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms with
the weak front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

MVFR to IFR conditions are expected to continue across most
terminals with the exception of KABI this morning, which will
likely remain VFR through the remainder of the TAF period. These
lower ceilings are expected to lift by 17Z and make way for VFR
conditions to persist through tonight. Winds will remain light and
variable through later this morning before increasing slightly
out of the southeast by this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     90  71  94  73 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  93  71  97  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    89  71  92  69 /  10   0   0   0
Brownwood   89  71  92  71 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  91  71  96  73 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       88  69  92  69 /  10   0   0   0
Brady       86  70  91  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...TP