432
FXUS64 KSJT 141825
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
125 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The benign pattern looks to continue for the short-term with
longwave ridging extending northeast out of the Baja California
region into Western Texas. Highs today will range from the lower
90s across our eastern counties to around 101 for western portions
of the Concho Valley and Big Country. The "cooler" temperatures
to the east will be due to higher dewpoints in the upper 60s to
near 70 sticking around through the afternoon. As we move through
today, the ridge will begin to weaken as a shortwave impulse moves
out of the Southern Rockies and into the Texas Panhandle but any
shower/storm activity associated with this should stay well off to
our north and west. Overnight lows will be similar to the past
few nights in the low to mid 70s under mostly clear skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 125 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A shortwave will move through the southern plains Saturday within
overall ridging. No significant impacts from this feature are
expected in our area. A large trough will develop over the western
half of the U. S. by Monday, with ridging over the southeastern
states. Ridging will be maintained over west central Texas,
keeping our forecast mainly dry and hot from Saturday through
Tuesday. Highs will be in the mid 90s to around 100, with lows
generally in the 70s.

By the second half of next week, models continue to indicate
upper level troughing over the western Gulf of Mexico, moving into
the southern Texas coast. There is even the possibility of a
tropical disturbance developing late next week. Should a tropical
wave/disturbance be able to move westward into southern Texas, we
could see an increase in moisture and chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Precipitation chances will remain in the 20 to 30
percent range for the second half of next week, along with high
temperatures cooling into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions will continue at all West Central Texas terminals
through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     71  95  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73  98  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    72  97  73  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   69  93  72  91 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  71  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  95  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       71  92  72  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...42