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FNUS72 KTAE 171056
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Sumatra Wildfire...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
656 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...About four days of sometimes strong easterly breezes
will get underway today. Against the background of strong general
winds, the seabreeze will mainly show up as a temporary shift to
southeast winds in the afternoon. A quick-moving shower could
also pass westward across the wildfire around 1700-2000, with a
briefly strong easterly wind gust as the shower arrives. Winds
will settle down for a few hours after sunset, but then a late
night easterly surge off the Florida Peninsula will bring an
overnight increase in speeds well before sunrise. Otherwise, the
strong transport winds and deep June mixing will bring high
dispersion each afternoon this week.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  69  64  59  58  57  52  48  43  48  51
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
LAL.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  76  80  84  86  88  89  91  93  93  92
RH..............97  97  91  80  72  66  59  52  47  49  51
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   7   7   8   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.6   7   10  14  14  16  16  17  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.5 1.4 2.4 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  16  16  17  17  17  16  15
Dispersion......6   10  24  39  51  54  64  78  80  88  69
LVORI...........6   7   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  53  55  53  57  59  59  60  53  53  58  56
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  90  88  85  83  81  81  80  78  78  77  75
RH..............54  58  63  67  70  74  72  72  76  76  79  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  10  9   9   9   9   10  12  13  13  12  12
Dispersion......45  30  6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   8   8
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  55  45  40  37  34  32  39  46  46  46  46
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  74  75  80  84  86  88  90  91  91  92  92
RH..............84  87  87  79  70  63  57  52  49  49  47  47
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  14  16  17  20  20  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.2 2.3 3.5 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  16  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  18
Dispersion......9   10  25  48  67  75  80  85  88  88  95  113
LVORI...........4   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Haner
Requested by...Alex Skovronsky
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416279.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Alex.skovronsky@fdacs.gov