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FNUS72 KTAE 261903
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Owl Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
303 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Moist and humid conditions will continue through the
next couple days with above normal chances of mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms. Relative humidity values will be well above
critical thresholds. Transport winds will be occasionally strong
out of the southwest and this will lead to potentially high
dispersions, especially on Friday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
                    the evening, then increasing to 20 percent
                    overnight.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms until
                    0200, then 1-8 strikes.
Temperature.........Min 78.
RH..................Max 94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL decreasing to 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 9 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  61  61  60  57  54  51  48  47  47  46  46
Weather cov.....CHC CHC                         SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC                         SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40  40  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............88  87  86  85  85  84  83  82  82  81  80  80
RH..............62  66  75  80  80  80  85  85  82  85  88  88
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   12  12  10  10  8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.8 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  15  16  16  16  17  17  17  17
Dispersion......51  50  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........1   1   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 50 percent by
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes.
Temperature.........Max 91.
RH..................Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4 to 6 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 21 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 68.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  46  46  47  48  49  52  55  56  57  65  62
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  20  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............79  78  78  82  84  86  88  88  89  91  90  90
RH..............88  91  94  88  82  77  72  70  66  62  64  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  14  14  15  17  18  20  21  21  21  20  20
Dispersion......8   7   14  16  28  42  51  57  63  64  64  68
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then 1-8 strikes.
Temperature.........Min 75.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....59 decreasing to 9 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  69  64  70  69  62  57  47  42  42  42  42
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............50  50  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
LAL.............3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............90  87  86  82  81  79  78  77  77  76  76  75
RH..............64  72  75  85  88  94  97  97  97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  12  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  17  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Dispersion......63  55  12  10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes until 1700, then 9-15
                    strikes.
Temperature.........Max 92.
RH..................Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3 to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 69.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  40  39  40  43  44  45  45  45  44  41  40
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30  30  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3
Temp............75  75  77  81  85  89  91  92  92  92  92  92
RH..............100 100 97  88  77  70  66  62  62  62  62  62
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 2.2 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.7
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  14  13  13  13  14  14  15  15
Dispersion......7   7   14  22  38  52  58  65  73  69  69  65
LVORI...........8   8   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$

Forecaster...Godsey
Requested by...USFS
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416750.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL flfic@firenet.gov