000
FXUS62 KTBW 220034
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
834 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 821 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Showers and storms are expected to dissipate while moving offshore
over next hour or two. Weather system over the Gulf/southwest of
the Peninsula continue to push moisture across the region through
the weekend, which should increase rain chances in some areas with
prevailing southeasterly flow in place. This set up combined with
the afternoon sea breeze supports convection mainly along the
interior and I-75 corridor during the late afternoon. Then,
activity pushing offshore during the evening hours. In addition,
the increase in moisture will make afternoon highs feel very
uncomfortable, so keep this in mind while making plans this
weekend.

Otherwise, no changes were made to the forecast as it remains on
track.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 714 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions prevail once shower and storms clear over the next
few hours. Southeasterly flow remains in place through the period
with the typical afternoon sea breeze. Increasing moisture should
support showers and thunderstorms during the late afternoon along
the sea breeze mainly in the I-75 corridor, and push back towards
the coast into the evening hours. Erratic/gusty winds, as well as
MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible near storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  79  93  78  91 /  40  70  40  60
FMY  77  93  76  91 /  30  70  60  70
GIF  77  95  76  93 /  40  70  50  70
SRQ  78  94  76  91 /  20  60  50  50
BKV  73  95  74  93 /  50  70  40  70
SPG  82  94  81  91 /  30  60  50  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Pearce