843
FXUS62 KTBW 041346
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
946 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 944 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

High pressure remains off to the northeast leading to persistent
light, easterly flow across the state. Moisture remains higher with
1.72 inch for PWs on this morning`s sounding. The transition into
the rainy season pattern continues with the trend of higher moisture
and increasing afternoon convection. This morning, off shore
convection was just another indicator that a wetter pattern should
be just around the corner. Until then, above normal temperatures
will persist this week. So be sure and take the proper precautions
to keep cool if you`re out in the heat and sun.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

VFR conditions for all terminals this morning. Light easterly winds
will turn westerly with the sea breeze around mid day. Rain chances
are slightly lower today with most of the activity inland and across
southern locations later this afternoon and into the evening hours.
Winds will diminish and turn easterly overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  94  77  94  78 /  30  50  40  30
FMY  94  75  94  76 /  50  60  60  40
GIF  94  73  96  75 /  40  30  60  20
SRQ  94  75  94  77 /  30  40  50  30
BKV  95  69  96  71 /  30  30  40  20
SPG  92  79  93  81 /  30  40  30  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...ADavis
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Flannery