Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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962 FXUS64 KTSA 270213 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 913 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of tonight) Issued at 908 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 A fairly quiet overnight will exist for most of the forecast area, with seasonal temperatures and dry conditions. The exception to the latter remains near the Red River, where CAMs show continued potential for isolated showers/thunderstorms to develop through the evening. Will maintain the low POPs in this area to cover this potential. All other elements appear on track as well, and the only update needed to the going forecast is the removal of the expired Heat Advisory. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Hot and muggy conditions will persist from Thursday through Saturday afternoon. In response, have elected to post an Excessive Heat Watch for Friday in a few of our Oklahoma counties where apparent T`s are expected to surpass 110F. A low potential will exist for some isolated storms across the northern part of the CWA Thursday afternoon associated with a subtle shortwave near the OK/KS border. Have adjusted PoPs accordingly. More widespread thunderstorms will occur Saturday night through Sunday afternoon, especially across northwest Arkansas and the northern half of eastern Oklahoma. Subsidence associated with the ridge may limit thunderstorm chances across the southeast Oklahoma. For the remainder of the forecast period, hot and muggy conditions will once again dominate, and additional heat headlines will likely be needed by early next week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Few to scattered mid and high clouds early this evening should become mostly clear to some passing high clouds overnight tonight. There remains some indications of patchy areas of reduced visibility across far northwest Arkansas...and have added Tempo groups to XNA/ROG/FYV. For Thursday...increasing high clouds are forecast with a shortwave moving eastward across the Central Plains. At this time...any precip looks to remain north of the CWA TAF sites. Other than potential patchy fog late tonight...VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 73 94 78 100 / 0 20 0 0 FSM 74 94 75 99 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 73 94 76 98 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 68 92 74 101 / 0 10 20 0 FYV 67 92 71 96 / 10 10 0 0 BYV 67 90 69 95 / 10 0 0 0 MKO 72 92 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 68 91 74 97 / 0 0 20 10 F10 71 92 75 98 / 10 10 0 0 HHW 74 92 74 96 / 20 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Excessive Heat Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for OKZ055-056-060>062-066-067-070. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...22 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...20