283
FXUS64 KTSA 210748
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
248 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 246 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Upper level ridging centered from the mid south region extends
back to the west and across the southern plains. This, and weak
surface high pressure to the east will allow for afternoon highs
in the lower 90s across most of the forecast area today.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 246 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Upper ridge to become more centered over the southern plains
through the weekend, with slightly warmer temperatures expected
Upper flow to improve some for the latter half of the weekend,
which may result in a some shower and storms near the KS/OK and
NW AR/SW MO Sunday morning. With low coverage expected, will
leave mentionable PoPs out at this time. Upper ridge early next
week will build across the SW CONUS, resulting in a NW flow
pattern across the E OK and NW AR. `Best` chances for showers and
storms come Tuesday night and Wednesday as a S-SE moving upper
wave brings a frontal boundary into the area. Will include low
PoPs in at the end of the forecast cycle as another upper wave
moves across the central plains late Thursday night and Friday.
Temperatures will be on the increase in the Sunday through Tuesday
timeframe- but areas that see a frontal passage around mid week
will likely see slightly cooler temperatures Wednesday and
Thursday.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period for all sites.
Spotty MVFR conditions may develop briefly during the morning
hours but any flight impacts should remain isolated and short-
lived. Southerly sfc winds increase during the day, but generally
remain below 10 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   93  74  96  78 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   94  72  96  77 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   91  71  93  75 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   92  71  95  75 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   91  69  93  73 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   91  69  93  74 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   91  71  93  76 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   91  71  93  75 /   0   0   0  10
F10   90  70  93  75 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   89  71  92  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...43