Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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963 FXUS64 KTSA 120535 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1235 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of tonight) Issued at 826 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 A fairly quiet night is on tap, featuring light winds and seasonable overnight temperatures. Mainly high cloud cover currently atop the region this evening will continue to shift south and eastward through the night, bringing mostly clear skies by daybreak tomorrow. The going forecast has things well handled, and no update is planned this evening. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 213 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Overall conditions will be trending in the direction of summertime as upper ridge expands over the southern states and surface high moves off to the east allowing s warmer and more humid airmass to expand over the region the next few days. NBM seems under-done at this time and have trended dew point temps more toward higher CONSMOS values. Combined with daytime highs in the low/mid 90s, will begin to see Heat Index values around 100 in many areas, possibly as early as Thursday. Overall precipitation chances will remain low in this pattern, however both Thursday night and Saturday night could see at least a low chance of storms moving into northern parts of the area. Thursday night convection along a frontal boundary in the Central Plains could eventually make a run at northeast OK, but given the expanding upper ridge this appears unlikely at this time. A few storms associated with an upper wave moving out of the Rockies this weekend could also flirt with northeast OK Saturday night or Sunday morning. The ridge axis should be pushed far enough east by early next week to allow a surge of deeper Gulf moisture into the area for at least isolated showers and thunderstorms. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 Few to scattered high clouds and light winds should persist through tonight over the CWA. The exception to this will be across far Northwest Arkansas where some patchy areas of LIFR visibility have begun to develop. This will remain possible into the morning hours Wednesday. During the day Wednesday...high clouds are forecast to exit with scattered diurnal mid clouds developing for the afternoon hours. Winds for Wednesday are forecast to return out of the south for most locations. Other than the potential reduced visibility in far Northwest Arkansas tonight...VFR conditions are forecast for the TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 69 94 72 96 / 0 0 10 0 FSM 67 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 67 92 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 67 94 70 94 / 0 0 10 0 FYV 64 91 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 64 91 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 67 91 68 93 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 66 91 69 91 / 0 0 10 0 F10 67 91 68 93 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 64 90 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...22 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...20