538
FXUS64 KTSA 262332
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
632 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 220 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Some additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible
tonight across far southeast Oklahoma, so elected to keep
some mentionable PoPs for those counties. Lows tonight will
be in the low 70s across the CWA, with some upper 60s in
northwest Arkansas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Wednesday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Hot and muggy conditions will persist from Thursday through
Saturday afternoon. In response, have elected to post an
Excessive Heat Watch for Friday in a few of our Oklahoma
counties where apparent  T`s are expected to surpass 110F.
A low potential will exist for some isolated storms across
the northern part of the CWA Thursday afternoon associated
with a subtle shortwave near the OK/KS border. Have adjusted
PoPs accordingly. More widespread thunderstorms will occur
Saturday night through Sunday afternoon, especially across
northwest Arkansas and the northern half of eastern
Oklahoma. Subsidence associated with the ridge may limit
thunderstorm chances across the southeast Oklahoma. For
the remainder of the forecast period, hot and muggy
conditions will once again dominate, and additional
heat headlines will likely be needed by early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Few to scattered mid and high clouds early this evening should
become mostly clear to some passing high clouds overnight tonight.
There remains some indications of patchy areas of reduced
visibility across far northwest Arkansas...and have added Tempo
groups to XNA/ROG/FYV. For Thursday...increasing high clouds are
forecast with a shortwave moving eastward across the Central
Plains. At this time...any precip looks to remain north of the CWA
TAF sites. Other than potential patchy fog late tonight...VFR
conditions are forecast through the TAF period.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  94  78 100 /   0  20   0   0
FSM   74  94  75  99 /  10   0   0   0
MLC   73  94  76  98 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   68  92  74 101 /   0  10  20   0
FYV   67  92  71  96 /  10  10   0   0
BYV   67  90  69  95 /  10   0   0   0
MKO   72  92  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   68  91  74  97 /   0   0  20  10
F10   71  92  75  98 /  10  10   0   0
HHW   74  92  74  96 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054-059-064-065.

     Excessive Heat Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday
     evening for OKZ055-056-060>062-066-067-070.

AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...20