842
FXUS64 KTSA 152326
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
626 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of this afternoon through tonight)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Hot and humid weather continues this afternoon across much of the
area. A few locations in the Arkansas River Valley, including
portions of far northeast Oklahoma should see heat indices top out
in the 101-103 deg range. Further west, dewpoints are running
several degrees lower compared to yesterday.

A few isolated showers/thunderstorms could still develop in the
higher terrain over far northwest Arkansas this afternoon, however
coverage will likely remain very limited and more focused just north
of area. It also appears that any storms that develop out west will
likely begin to weaken before moving into northeast Oklahoma
tonight. Otherwise, mild conditions will persist overnight with
light south winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

High temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal Sunday and
again Monday. As upper high shifts over the Eastern Seaboard, a weak
mid level impulse will lift north with low level Gulf moisture slowly
increasing through mid week. This may allow isolated to widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms to develop each afternoon with peak heating.

Warming trend returns Friday into Saturday as upper ridging builds
back into the southern Plains. Rain chances should remain very low
to nil as easterly low level flow advects a drier air-mass into
the region with PWATs decreasing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. South
winds will gust over 20 knots at times Sunday at the northeast
Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  94  75  93 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   74  95  75  93 /   0   0   0  20
MLC   73  92  73  91 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   70  93  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   70  92  72  90 /   0   0   0  20
BYV   70  92  72  91 /   0   0   0  20
MKO   72  92  73  91 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   72  92  72  91 /   0   0   0  10
F10   71  92  72  90 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   72  91  72  89 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...05