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344
FXUS64 KBMX 220534
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1234 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

The trend continues to show a lack of moisture through Sunday
afternoon. Have backed off of the slight chance for this afternoon
in the far southeast and will now go with a dry forecast. Looks
like the ridge is going to win out of the weak disturbance that is
currently in southeastern Georgia. A weak boundary will approach
the north late Sunday afternoon, but looks like it will hold off
entering the area until after sunset. Will go with some low end
chances for rain but remain below 20 percent, so will stay dry
with this forecast. Biggest issues for the weekend will be the
heat. Highs will be in the mid 90s today and mid to upper 90s on
Sunday. We should remain below advisory criteria of 105 heat
index, but it will be close.

16
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&&

.LONG TERM...
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(Sunday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2024

Not much change in the extended this afternoon, with dry
conditions prevailing through Sunday night. With a weak boundary
working southward through the area Monday and Tuesday, rain
chances will increase. The added moisture will send heat indices
into the 100-108F range both afternoons. Much better rain chances
exist Wednesday into Thursday with the approach of a mid level
trough and surface front.

14
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&&

.AVIATION...
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(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

VFR conditions dominate the period. It looks as though winds will
be light and variable throughout. Not much in the way of cloud
cover with a few cumulus around 070-090 and some cirrus.

16
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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

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Dry conditions will continue through Sunday. 20 foot winds will
be light and variable today, and become westerly Sunday at 4 to 8
mph. Afternoon RH values should range from 30 to 40 percent each
day through Sunday. Overnight RH values will be above 80 percent.
Better rain chances return on Monday and Tuesday.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Gadsden     95  70  97  73 /  10   0  10  30
Anniston    94  72  96  74 /  10   0  10  20
Birmingham  96  74  98  76 /  10   0  10  20
Tuscaloosa  95  72  97  75 /   0   0  10  20
Calera      96  73  98  75 /   0   0  10  20
Auburn      93  73  96  74 /  10   0   0  10
Montgomery  97  72  98  75 /   0   0   0  10
Troy        97  71  98  74 /  10   0  10  10
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&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...16