Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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336 FXUS62 KTBW 201150 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 750 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS) Issued at 746 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 VFR conditions with no weather restrictions expected through the period. Winds will remain less than 10 knots.
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&& .SHORT TERM (TDY-TONIGHT)... Issued at 500 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 A drier start to this morning compared to yesterday with ACARS sounding showing PWAT values around 1.3 inches, and it is also visible on the water vapor band on satellite. This is as trough moving off the Northeast coast and associated boundary sagging south continue to exit the area. At the same time, high pressure begins to build from the north supporting north to northeasterly winds along with drier air across the Sunshine State today. As a result, showers and storms will be isolated to scattered this afternoon with the highest chances for areas over the interior and south of the I-4 corridor. Afternoon highs remain in the 90s with overnight lows in the 70s. && .MARINE... Issued at 427 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 High pressure begins to build in from the north into the weekend keeping north to northeast up to 15 knots. An easterly surge is anticipated each evening during this time. Though drier air should keep lower rain chances over the weekend and into next week, isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible during the evening and early morning. No headlines are expected during this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 91 74 91 74 / 20 10 20 0 FMY 92 74 92 75 / 40 10 30 10 GIF 92 73 92 74 / 30 10 30 0 SRQ 92 73 92 73 / 20 20 20 10 BKV 91 70 92 70 / 20 10 20 0 SPG 91 78 92 77 / 20 10 10 10 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ AVIATION...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Hubbard