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039
FXUS61 KBGM 011859
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
259 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will be in control of the weather across the area,
bringing fair weather and increasing temperatures through
Wednesday. A frontal system will move into the region Wednesday
night into Thursday with showers and thunderstorms lingering
into the weekend.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
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3 PM Update...
Still plenty of fair weather cu around the area this afternoon,
with partly to mostly cloudy skies prevailing. NW winds have
been a little breezy, gusting 20 to 25 mph at times.
Temperatures have generally been in the upper-60s to lower-70s,
though areas near and north of the Thruway have managed to warm
up into the mid-70s.

Clouds will dissipate quickly after sunset, and with high
pressure moving overhead, winds will become light and variable.
Temperatures look to drop into the upper-40s by dawn. Patchy
valley fog will be possible along the Susquehanna, especially
the upper tributaries.

Return flow will bring warmer temperatures back to the area for
tomorrow (Tuesday), with highs returning to the 80s. The period
will remain precip-free.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
220 PM Update...

Wednesday should remain dry as high pressure squeezes out one
more nicer day before a weak frontal boundary moves through on
Independence day. Chances for showers and storms are possible
for the holiday. The chance for any storms to become severe is
low due to lack of instability. Temperatures will be in the
mid-80s for Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
220 PM Update...

Another weak system will continue giving chances for showers and
storms for Friday and Saturday, with a break heading into next
week. Warm and humid conditions expected through the long-term
period, with temperatures will be summerlike in the low- to
high-80s.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Skies are mostly scattered to broken, but where ceilings
persist, heights have lifted well into VFR range. Expect cloud
cover to dissipate quickly after dark.

NW to N winds have been a little less gusty than expected, be a
few gusts to around 20 knots will remain possible through the
afternoon hours.

Winds will become calm overnight. Valley fog would be a concern,
but dewpoints are expected to drop into the mid-40s, while
temperatures stay in the upper-40s overnight.

VFR conditions and light/variable winds tomorrow will trend
towards light southerly late in the day.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Wednesday...VFR.

Wednesday night through Saturday...Chances of showers and
thunderstorms with associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPH
NEAR TERM...MPH
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...ES/MPH