270
FNUS75 KABQ 201119
FWSABQ

Spot Forecast for Encerrita...National Park Service
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
519 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty southeast winds are forecast for today and this evening. A
monsoon weather pattern has now developed with a chance for showers
and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening for at least the next
seven days. The potential exists for locally heavy rainfall Friday as
an upper level trough passing north of New Mexico draws precipitable
water values nearly 200 percent of normal over the wildfire. A few
storms may turn severe today and Friday with brief, localized, and
erratic wet microburst wind gusts potentially reaching up to 60 mph.
After Friday, rain amounts will generally be lighter with a
significantly lower risk of locally heavy rainfall. After a high
temperature around 5 degrees below the 1991-2020 average today
through Sunday, readings will rebound a few degrees above the
averages Monday and Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.
Max Temperature.....84-88.
Min Humidity........24-28 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to around 40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 23 knots.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent/220000 knot-ft at 1500 local.
Ventilation Trend...Very good/122059 knot-ft around mid morning and
                    excellent/220000 knot-ft by mid afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of Pcpn......30 percent.
Min Temperature.....52-56.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ventilation Trend...Excellent/184000 knot-ft by early evening and
                    fair/42000 knot-ft by late evening.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then mostly
                    cloudy with scattered showers showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of Pcpn......80 percent.
Max Temperature.....82-86.
Min Humidity........31-35 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 knots.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good/147233 knot-ft at 1400 local.
Ventilation Trend...Good/98430 knot-ft around mid morning and very
                    good/143000 knot-ft by mid afternoon.

$$

For more information and situational awareness graphics, please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/abq/forecasts-fireweather-dss

Forecaster...44
Requested by...Lafe Sackett
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416329.1/ABQ
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0