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FNAK79 PAFG 230118
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
518 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal trough south of the fire will remain south of the fire
through Sunday. This will cause sunny, dry, and very warm
conditions over the fire tonight into Monday. The trough is
expected to move over the fire Sunday night into Monday. This
along with the passing of a upper level shortwave will increase
the chance for thunderstorms. Red flag conditions are not expected
at the fire due to the light winds.

Warmer and drier conditions are expected over the fire are and in
the Interior for the remainder of the week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......East/northeast winds 5 to 7 mph
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds at 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms through
                    the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable becoming southwesterly at
7 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.12/AFG
.DELDT 06/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0