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FNAK79 PAFG 010027
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 317 Mogul...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
427 PM AKDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and generally dry conditions persist into Monday, accompanied
by highs in the upper 70s and minimum RH values near 35 percent.
Northwest winds largely stay below 10 mph. Valley winds will be
much lighter than ridgetop winds. Isolated thunderstorms possible
through Wednesday as the thermal trough remains over the fire area.
A pattern change begins Tuesday with increasing west to southwest
winds, followed by increasing wetting rain chances Thursday into
the latter half of the week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Numerous rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................29 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 6 to 8 mph increasing to 12 to 14
                    mph around 1600 AKDT. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Numerous rain showers in the
                    evening. Isolated thunderstorms through the
                    night. Scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................48 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 12 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 20
                    mph around 0400 AKDT.
Inversion setup.....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Areas of fog in the afternoon.
                    Numerous rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................62 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 16 to 20 mph becoming southwest 14
                    to 16 mph around 1100 AKDT.
Inversion burnoff...N/A.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 6 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Areas of smoke. Numerous showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. West winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Numerous showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 70. West winds
around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...YFDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416962.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0