129
FNAK79 PAFG 010130
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 252 Deception Pup...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
530 PM AKDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and generally dry conditions persist into Monday, accompanied
by highs in the mid 70s and minimum RH values near 35 percent.
Southwest winds increase Monday into the 10 to 15 mph, shifting
to the west Monday night And Tuesday. Isolated thunderstorms possible
through Wednesday as the thermal trough remains over the fire area.
A pattern change begins Tuesday with increasing west to southwest
winds and the potential for critical fire weather conditions,
followed by increasing wetting rain chances Thursday into the latter
half of the week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Scattered rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated
                    rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms through the
                    day. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................12 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 8 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph around
                    1400 AKDT. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 15 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................16 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 15 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. Southwest
winds around 12 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Areas of smoke. Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs around 70. West winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 13 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...YTDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416704.10/AFG
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0