009
FNAK79 PAFG 301438
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Totchaket Slough 411297...Northern forestry dispatch center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
638 AM AKDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and generally dry conditions persist into Monday, accompanied
by highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s and minimum RH values between
25 and 30 percent today, and near 40 percent Monday. Overnight RH
recovery will be fair. Southwest winds increase tonight and Monday
with gusts to 15 mph. Isolated thunderstorms possible through Tuesday
as the thermal trough remains over the fire area. A pattern change
begins Tuesday with increasing southwesterly winds, followed by
increasing wetting rain chances Wednesday into the latter half of
the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Isolated rain showers through the
                    night.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 14 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Areas of smoke. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Areas of smoke. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...Matthew Velderrain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416858.2/AFG
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0